Historical Housing Price Analysis

Adkins Capital Management LLC  •  Research
Historical Home Price Levels
ACM 60-City Index  ·  Justified Rate  ·  Income % History  ·  1996 – Present
363Monthly Snapshots
60Cities Tracked
~25Years of History
6.38%Current 30-Yr Rate • Mar 2026
Last refreshed: March 29, 2026 at 5:29 AM GMT+0000  •  Data cached 24 hours

The purpose of this dashboard is to provide a comprehensive historical overview of home price valuations across the ACM 60-City Home Price Index, calculated using the Adkins Valuation Methodology. The Justified Mortgage Loan Interest Rate represents the 30-year fixed rate at which the median home price for a city is exactly justified by local median household income at the 28% threshold. The Justified Percentage of Household Income represents the actual share of income required to carry the mortgage at the prevailing national rate.

Use the interactive tools below to explore how each city's valuation has evolved from 1996 through today — spanning the early 2000s housing boom, the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath, the post-pandemic price surge, and the current rate environment.

Top 5 Overpriced & Underpriced Cities by Month

Use the slider below to move through history and see which cities were most overpriced and most underpriced at any given month from 1996 to present.

1996Select a monthToday
△ Top 5 Most Overpriced
▽ Top 5 Most Underpriced
30-Year Mortgage Rate:

Justified Income % — Historical Trend by City

Select up to 5 cities to compare their valuation history. The horizontal lines show the ACM rating thresholds — Underpriced (≤22%), Fair Value (22–28%), Overpriced (28–38%), Severely Overpriced (>38%). Cities crossing the 28% line have moved from fair value to overpriced territory.

Today's Top 5 Most Overpriced & Underpriced

Top 5 Most Overpriced — February 2026
RankCityZHVIIncome UsedJustified RateRating
1Newark, NJ$558,90083.5%Severely Overpriced
2Buffalo, NY$502,16275.6%Severely Overpriced
3Los Angeles, CA$765,03663.0%Severely Overpriced
4Honolulu, HI$823,97057.2%0.41%Severely Overpriced
5Bridgeport, CT$425,33354.4%0.75%Severely Overpriced
Top 5 Most Underpriced — February 2026
RankCityZHVIIncome UsedJustified RateRating
1Fargo, ND$280,51021.9%8.55%Underpriced
2Oklahoma City, OK$216,24223.4%7.80%Fair Value
3Charleston, SC$300,56224.1%7.50%Fair Value
4Des Moines, IA$227,76425.8%6.85%Fair Value
5Little Rock, AR$219,75426.2%6.67%Fair Value